In a stunning condemnation of
the slate of candidates running for office this year, Nate Silver pointed
out yesterday that Bernie Sanders is the only candidate with a net
favorable rating. On the Republican side, the only candidate who even draws
neutrality is Ben Carson (37 percent favorable, 37 percent unfavorable). Among
the rest, Trump leads the pack at -25 (33% favorable, 58% unfavorable),
followed by Jeb Bush (-22), Rick Santorum (-22), Rand Paul (-16), Chris
Christie (-13), Mike Huckabee (-12), Carly Fiorina (-8), John Kasich and Ted
Cruz (-7) and Marco Rubio (-1). On the Democratic side, Hillary actually has a
higher favorable rating than Bernie (42 to 38) and Martin O’Malley (a measly
18), but a much higher unfavorable rating (50 to 35 for Bernie and 29 for
O’Malley). So with one of the biggest slates in recent memory, though one that
is surprisingly small on the Democratic side, only two candidates can claim the
same level of favorability as unfavorability.
After years of the American
people growing increasingly frustrated with not only the President but Congress
and the Senate as well, is this really the best we can do in selecting a
candidate to represent us for the next four, or maybe even eight, years? Bernie
Sanders does speak to the needs and concerns of the average American better
than any other candidate, arguably, while the divisive tone of Trump’s campaign
encapsulates the political insularity and partisan divide that has undermined
our democracy (together with the power of money). But how often is a
presidential campaign won or lost on the issues? One does begin to wonder if we
are starting to see a repeat of 2008, though, where the anointing of Hillary
Clinton as the Democratic candidate by the mainstream media came a little
early, while the Republicans beat each other up to such a high degree they had
a hard time running an effective campaign after their candidate had been
selected.
Hillary is certainly beatable
in a general election, and one does wonder if Bernie Sander’s message can play
in the heartland, but looking at the GOP race, is there really a candidate who
can aptly represent the people of the nation, either domestically or abroad?
Can the Republican active electorate really choose the racist, jingoistic, Islamaphobe
Trump as their candidate? We shall know more in the coming weeks, as Iowa and
New Hampshire give us our first glimpse of where the race is headed. Clinton has
apparently put a lot of stock into Iowa and New Hampshire and is behind Sanders
in state organization beyond those first two primaries, with Sanders, by the
way, forging a rather commanding lead
in NH. Let the games continue~!
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