The third week of the NFL season was rife with turnarounds
and late game comebacks. None was any bigger than the Indianapolis Colts, who
were down before a 21-point fourth quarter led them to a 35-33 win over the
Titans, who now join them at 1-2. The Ravens and Browns traded late touchdowns
before a penalty cancelled out a fourth down completion to keep the drive alive
and they failed on the second try to lose to the Bengals 28-24 (meaning the
teams have transposed records of 3-0 and 0-3). The Raiders held on with a late
interception of McCown near the end zone to move to 2-1 after a 27-20 victory
at Cleveland. The Eagles almost blew a 24-0 lead against the Jets, but were
able to hold on after easily covering the onside kick for a 24-17 win. The Jets
defense shut down Philly in the second half, but could only muster 10 points
themselves in falling to 2-1. In the marque matchup of the early games, the
Cowboys built a 28-14 lead, before ceding the next 25 points, and the game to
the 3-0 Atlanta Falcons. Elsewhere, the Texans beat the Bucs 19-9, the Patriots
obliterated the 1-2 Jags 51-17, the Panthers pushed the Saints to 0-3 with a
27-22 come from behind win and the Vikings crushed the Chargers 31-14, behind a
huge game from Adrian Peterson. The final early game was a defensive struggle
between the previously highflying offense of the Steelers and the stout Rams
defense. The Steelers won the game 12-6, but Roethlisberger was stretchered off
with a knee injury and any sustained period out could be a huge blow to the
Super Bowl hopefuls.
The late games included the explosive Cardinals against a
Niners defense that was great in Week 1 and terrible in Week 2. It was the Week
2 defense that showed up early, as the Cardinals rolled to a 21-0 first quarter
lead, assisted by a pick 6 of Kaepernick, before extending to 31-7 by halftime.
Both the Seahawks and Buffalo shut out their opponents in the first half of
their games, as the Bills jumped to a 27-0 lead over Miami (aided by three
Tannehill interceptions) and Seattle scored a last field goal to make it 6-0
over the Bears. The beginning of the second half saw the Bears give up a
kickoff return for a touchdown for the second game running, as Seattle’s lead
extended to 13-0 and it appeared all three games were all but in the books
early into the second half. The final scores were 47-7 for the Cards, 26-0 for
the Seahawks and 41-14 for the Bills.
Sunday night saw another 0-2 team, Detroit, hosting the 2-0
Broncos. Most of the first half was uninspired, with interceptions by both
Manning and Stafford before it came alive in the last five minutes with three
touchdowns and a blocked extra point attempt almost run back for a touchdown.
Denver ultimately led 14-6 after Manning drove the team 80 yards in less than a
minute, going for it on 4th and 1 from the Detroit 45 with 13 second
left, heaving the ball 35 yards in the air, with the receiver catching it over
a Lion and coasting into the end zone. Both teams drove the ball in the second
half but fumbles and missed third downs meant the game headed into the last 8
minutes with only one Lions touchdown and failed two-point conversion early in
the 3rd to show for either offense. After a head scratching fumble
call on the Lions where Stafford’s arm appeared to clearly be going forward, a
penalty by the Lions (for overloading one side of the line of scrimmage, a new
rule) allowed Denver to retry a missed FG attempt and make it the second time
around to extend the lead to 17-12. With the Lions driving for a potentially go
ahead touchdown, Stafford threw his second pick of the night, on the back of
the aforementioned fumble, with the Broncos almost giving it back two plays
later before Sanders pulled the ball out of Slay’s hand, the defender guilty on
the big play right before the half as well. The Broncos put it in the end zone
through the air again to go ahead 24-12 with 2:28 left and Detroit out of
timeouts. It was a messy game from beginning to end, one challenge after another
together with a combined 18 penalties for 171 yards and five turnovers. Denver
will have to be taken seriously after a third straight win to start the season
while the Lions season is quickly unraveling, with a trip to Seattle awaiting
them next week.
Finally was Monday night, a replay of the first Super Bowl
between the Green Bay Packers and KC Chiefs, on the 50th anniversary
of that game. The Packers jumped out to an early lead, extended it to 24-7 at
halftime and then blew out the Chiefs behind another incredible performance
from Mr. Reliable, Aaron Rodgers (24 of 35, 333 yards, 5 TDs, and no
interceptions). A couple of fourth quarter touchdowns for KC made the game seem
closer than it was, with the final score coming in at 38-28. It was not and
Green Bay placed their own early bid for “best in the NFL so far.” The other
teams in contention are clearly the New England Patriots that some are already
starting to compare to that incredible 2007 team, and the Arizona Cardinals.
Some thoughts on Week
3:
The 0-2 Teams
A number of teams came into week 3 needing a win to avoid
falling to 0-3, making a playoff run extremely unlikely. First were the Giants
on Thursday night, facing the 1-1 Redskins off the back of a win. The Giants blew
their first two games late, but they held on nicely in this one for a 32-21
victory. Second were the Eagles, who were solid without being overly impressive
in beating the Jets 24-17. They dominated the first half, helped by a number of
silly Jets mistakes, including a failed lateral from Brandon Marshall gifted
them the ball. In the second half, the Jets defense held them under 30 yards
and recovered a fumble but couldn’t make it all the way back. The Colts were
the third 0-2 team to win, with Andrew Luck again coming up big in a come-from-behind
35-33 win, with 21 points in the fourth quarter (to six for the now 1-2
Titans). They find themselves right back in the race in the weakest division in
all of football. The other 0-2 teams were not so lucky, however, with the
Ravens giving up a late TD to the Bengals before a failed fourth down
conversion sealed their fate. The Saints also fell late, giving up the only 7
points of the fourth quarter to lose to the Panthers 27-22. That loss to their
division rivals, means they are really four games back with the current
tiebreakers. Might be time to write this season off.
The Seahawks also needed a win and were lucky to be facing
the Chicago Bears minus Jay Cutler (or was it the Bears lucky their expensive
but underperforming QB was out?). Seattle were poor offensively in the first
half, only garnering six points, after they failed to push it in from a first
and goal with time running out at the end of a 77-yard drive. Sound familiar,
minus the interception? The Seahawks ultimately won 26-0, though it did little
to allay concerns on the offensive end. The final 0-2 team, the Lions, had a
tough home game against the 2-0 Broncos and struggled to get their offense in
sync, a missed extra point and a couple tough calls against them meaning they
were down two points halfway through the fourth quarter before ultimately
losing 24-12, their last three drives entailing a fumble, interception and
turnover on downs.
The Unpredictability
of Predictability Redux
The NFL is difficult to predict from one week to the next in
the early going of this season, though some results went to form. Two teams
without their starting quarterback both lost, though the Cowboys really blew a
game they were dominating by completely forgetting to play defense. The
Patriots won big over the struggling Jags, though when weren’t the Jags
struggling? Heading into the season, few would have predicted the Atlanta
Falcons also at 3-0 and among the best of the NFC, but three weeks of strong
second half performances see them as the early surprise of the young season.
The combination of Ryan behind center, Freeman in the backfield and the largely
uncoverable Julio Jones running short, medium and long routes make them one of
the premier trios in the league and their defense seems to play at least one
half of great football a game. The explosive Steelers offense was held by St.
Louis in a win and even though you can’t fully blame the injury to
Roethlisberger, with backup Michael Vick going 5 for 6 for 38 yards, it was an
impressive performance by the Rams defense. It’s too bad their offense has been
far below par this year, with just 16 points in their past two games. Todd
Gurley made his debut, but was only able to gain 9 yards on 6 carries, and Nick
Foles was 19-28 for 197 yards with a huge interception. Seattle’s offense
continued to stutter in their game against Chicago while the Buffalo defense
rebounded in a big way, with three pickoffs of Tannehill in the first half on
the way to a 27-0 halftime lead. After three games, it appears two of the best
defenses reside in the AFC East, with the Bills and Jets seemingly the cream of
the NFL, even as both are only 2-1 (and both had one bad defensive
performances).
Cowboys Crisis Begins
The Eagles and Giants both won this weekend and the Cowboys
lost, meaning their lead has shrunk to one game with a long way to go. And
after an impressive first half where they led 28-17, even with a Weeden
interception that led to 7 for Atlanta, they looked in okay shape. Sure they
gave up a last second field goal, but an 11-point lead means a couple more
scores would seal it. Instead, after stopping the Falcons on their first drive
of the second half and then getting great field possession on the other side of
the 50, the Cowboys had three penalties and a sack on the way to a
disappointing punt. Even a field goal there might have stopped the Falcons
momentum, but they were essentially unstoppable from that moment, going on to
score the last 25 points of the game. The most confusing aspect of a scoreless
second half for the Cowboys was what happened to their running game in the
second half. Without any explanation, they only ran the ball six times, instead
putting a heavy load on their backup quarterback, who had been perfect but for
the interception through his start and relief appearance. Unable to get the
ball downfield, or build any momentum in a drive, the Cowboys wilted under the
force of the Atlanta offensive machine. One expected some tough games while
Romo and Bryant are out, but this was a winnable game that they lost, with some
seriously bad play calling along the way. Dallas will have to hope to pick up a
couple of games in the next four or five weeks, or they could find themselves
in danger of missing out on the playoffs altogether.
Quarterback Fortunes
Mixed Bag
Tom Brady passed the coveted 400 TD mark and Matt Ryan had a
big second half as both played a big part in getting their respective teams to
3-0 records. Rodgers, as mentioned above, was even better, going his 19th
home game at Lambeau without an interception while throwing five touchdowns in
a game for the fourth time in his career (along with 15 games with at least 4).
That puts the Packers star in some pretty rarified company, as only Drew Brees
has more four-touchdown games and only four QBs have more five TD games (Brees
again (9), Manning (9), Marino (6) and Brady (5). By the time this kid is done,
he might break a lot of records. Meanwhile, Mariotta tied the record for most
TD passes in his first three games, with 8, though his first interception as a
pro contributed to the Colts comeback victory Sunday.
Another quarterback can be added to the list of starters
that will be spending time on the sideline, a list that now includes Ben
Roethlisberger (at least 4 weeks), Tony Romo (8 weeks), Drew Brees
(week-to-week) and Jay Cutler (week-to-week). The Steelers were able to win a
defensive battle, but all of the other teams lost without their season opening
starters and will probably continue to struggle without them, though the
Cowboys have a supporting cast that could keep them competitive, if their
defense steps up after a terrible second half. The 49ers might be starting to
rethink putting the franchise in the hands of Colin Kaepernick though, as he
had another terrible day at the park, throwing two pick sixes, two other
interceptions and only completing 9 of 19 passes for 67 yards, without a
touchdown throw (he did run one in). The quarterback on the other sideline had
another good game, competing 20 of 32 passes for 311 yards, two touchdowns and
an interception, just missing out on a couple more TD throws as receivers were
caught at the one. While Manning did much to silence his critics on Sunday
night (31 of 42 for 324 yards, 2 TDS and an INT), Matthew Stafford continued to
struggle, even as he completed 31 of 45 passes for 282 yards (with a TD, two
INTs and a lost fumble). Finally is Alex Smith, the guy that was picked ahead
of Aaron Rodgers in the draft. He had a day that looked okay on first glance, completing
24 of 40 passes for 290 yards, with a TD and an INT, but that was even worse
that the completion percentage might indicate – as it garnered a 17.6 QBR,
compared to Rodgers’ 78.0.
Early Super Bowl
Favorites
It is early to make any playoff predictions, but why not?
The Patriots again look like the cream of the AFC, with Denver also sitting at
3-0 and Indianapolis back to winning ways after starting the season 0-2. One
should also mention the Bengals, though they have been consistent
underperformers in the playoffs. The Steelers will have to count on Michael
Vick for four to six weeks, but are an offensive force to be reckoned with if
they stay close. In the NFC, the Packers are the clear favorites at this early
juncture, with Arizona continuing to impress along with the Atlanta Falcons
(both 3-0). Seattle will always be in the conversation, as their defense
pitched a shutout to register their first win of the season, but their
offensive struggles continued and it looks increasingly likely they would have
to travel to Green Bay if they do get back to the Championship Game. The
Cowboys should remain in contention as well, if they can get through the spell
without Romo and Bryant without too many more losses. They had a good chance to
make it 3-0, but collapsed in the second half, mysteriously only running the
ball six times after a dominant first half on the ground. As has been the case
in the past, some questions should be asked of coach Garrett, who has a team
that is near the top of the league in penalties most seasons and often loses
very winnable games through questionable play calling and time management. If I
were putting money down this week, I would say the Green Bay Packers beat the
Patriots in a shootout in Super Bowl L.