Monday, January 06, 2014

Arsenal in the New Year

Arsenal have continued their resurgence since the Man City mauling and dreary 0-0 Chelsea draw with four straight wins to reassert their title challenge. After the comeback victory over West Ham, the Gunners have secured three straight clean sheets, including a 1-0 victory over a red hot Newcastle, a late 2-0 victory over Cardiff (with the unlikeliest of heroes in Nicklas Bendtner) and then a comprehensive 2-0 victory over Tottenham in the FA Cup Saturday. With those victories, the question now emerges of whether Arsenal can sustain this title challenge until the end of the season. Let’s look at some issues that might decide their fate in ending that eight-year trophy drought …
  
1.  Wilshere on the Rise:  two weeks ago I was decrying the continued decline of Wilshere and the distance between the hype and the results on the field. While I still think he gives the ball away too often and makes poor choices in the final third, there is no question that his performances in the past two games have been much improved. He is not hitting the turf quite as often, seems more poised on the ball, passes back when necessary and penetrated the Tottenham defense at will. With the injuries mounting and the heavy fixture list in February and March, he will be essential to their prospects in the three remaining competitions. Let’s hope he’s on the up for good.
2.  Defense holds firm: The organization at the back, the help defense and the duo or interchange of Arteta and/or Flamini with a constantly improving Szczesny in the middle has become a formidable group that is hard for teams to break through. Tottenham have yet to score in two full games, Liverpool couldn’t find a way through, Manchester United scored on a poorly covered corner early in the game, Chelsea couldn’t break the deadlock, Newcastle was stuffed and the midtier teams have had a hard time as well. In fact, when Mertesacker and Koscielny play, Arsenal has been undefeated for almost a year. When taken in total, the City game appears to have been an aberration to a team that has the defensive nous to pull them through the tough tests to come
3.  How do you solve a problem like Theo: Wenger is famously stubborn when it comes to any transfer window, put particularly the short winter version he would like to see eliminated. But with the news that Theo Walcott is gone for the season (and the World Cup, alas, for England), and with Giroud needing backup and Bendtner out for a month, it appears that our French God can no longer ignore reality. Rumors surround an audacious bid for Athletico’s Costa (unlikely), a return for Benzema (unlikely), a bid for Bayern’s Mandzukic (more likely next summer) and a host of others are being floated, but few of these ever turn out to be true. Wenger has to do something now though, whether it be Pedro from Barca, Berbetov from Fulham, Kalou from Lille or one of the quality strikers in the lesser leagues. It is imperative if the Gunners are to continue to stay atop the league, hoping that Chelsea falters, City blows more games on the road and Liverpool continue to fade. Gnarby can add speed on the right flank in Theo’s absence and Chamberlain is back in full training, but it might make sense to also explore available wingers. Julian Draxler would fit the bill, but it appears more likely he will appear in the summer. Make the move, Arsene!
4.Ozil/Ramsey Axis: my last post discussed the fixture list and what lies ahead for the Gunners in the second half. With Ozil showing up for a cameo in the impressive victory over the Spurs Saturday, and Podolski back in the fold as well, the team looked to be back toward full strength, until their most consistent scorer over the past season and a half went down; while oddly playing right back, one might mention. Ozil and Ramsey had seemed to find a deep understanding in November that led the Gunners on a sustained run. Then there was a falloff in Ozil form, a slight decline in offensive output from Ramsey and then the injuries. Now the two are back (Ramsey maybe after Saturday’s game) and they must work together to continue creating opportunities and scoring goals (for all the criticism of Ozil, he has four goals and seven assists in the league already). With the loss of Walcott and a decline in scoring prowess from Giroud, these two might very well be the difference between renewed disappointment and Gooners celebrating more than a fourth-place finish.


Next up is Aston Villa, but just as important is what Wenger does in the transfer window. COYG!

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