Sunday, September 22, 2013

Arsenal 3 Stoke City 1 (And the EPL this Weekend)

A Seinfeld episode several years ago called The Opposite featured George deciding that he should do the exact opposite of what he normally would, leading to a number of successes that really changed his character from that point on. And today the Gunners turned the table on Stoke, winning 3-1 at the Emirates by playing a very Stoke-like game. They scored all three goals on set pieces, with two coming from headers, while Stoke scored its only goal on a rebound shot from outside the box. It was a reversal of expectations but continued Arsenal’s recent run of form, culminating in a third successive win. After scoring again through the man of the moment, Aaron Ramsey, early in the game (5’), Arsenal again gave back the lead (which they have done against Aston Villa, Sunderland and Fulham) in the 26th minute from American Geoff Cameron’s strong finish of a shot off the post.

But as has become their tendency of late, Arsenal fought back with Per Mertesacker scoring a header in the 36th minute. As the second half started, one assumed Arsenal would dominate but it was Stoke that seemed to have the momentum, controlling the ball for long spells and demanding some strong defensive work and a couple of key saves from Szczesny. In the 72nd minute, Ozil garnered his third assist of the game, sending in a perfectly placed cross that Bacary Sagna looped over Stoke goalkeeper Begovic to put the game away. It wasn’t always pretty, but it was yet another win and showed the mettle that this team has seemed to embody ever since the 2-0 win at Bayern last season. Some thoughts on the game and the weekend in the EPL:

1.     Ramsey/Wilshere/Arteta/Flamini: Ramsey continued his performance as one of the best box-to-box midfielders in Europe with a lovely finish off an Ozil free kick rebound. As the game went on, he did miss more passes than usual, but this could certainly be the result of being tired (though Yaya Toure looked the best in the world later Sunday). Wilshere continues to fail to impress at the moment and really could use a rest, particularly given the form of those around him. Arteta will probably take his place in the Capital One Cup on Wednesday, but one must wonder if Flamini should be replaced at the moment, so good is his play. Not only has he become the rock in defense we have lacked since Alex Song left, but his passing was exemplary throughout the game. When Cazorla returns, it really is hard to see Wilshere being more than a rotational player at the moment, though one wonders what Wenger will do. He has shown a more ruthless approach to squad spots since the turn of the year, sitting both Vermaelen and Wilshere late last year to snag fourth place. It might be that Wilshere/Arteta become an alternative to Flamini/Ramsey in some games, but it is hard to see Ramsey left out often this term, pushing Wilshere to the periphery once everyone is healthy again.
2.     Without Walcott out wide, our counter seems far less troubling. Walcott was scratched with some sort of stomach ailment (muscle strain or something) and, while Gnarby was clearly superior on the defensive end of the pitch, he lacks the pace and touch of Walcott. Once Ox is back, he can certainly provide similar flair on the right but we might have more luck pushing left with Gibbs rushing in until that happens. Both Cazorla and Podolski should be back in the coming month or so, though, and that might help the counter as well.
3.     Needs in Winter Window: Flamini has shown himself to be a very astute signing by Wenger, even if it was serendipitous, and probably ends the need for a DM. What we do clearly need is another striker, maybe someone with speed that can play alongside or instead of Giroud in some games. The Frenchman had a very average game, failing to impress with the two opportunities he was given. He has clearly improved and will not score every week, but the need for another option is clear. When Ramsey stops scoring every game, and that obviously has to happen at some point, we will need the striker to score with consistency – even against physical teams that play in two flanks of four. The other real need, in my opinion, is another strong centre back that can slot in at times. While our defense has only given up more than a goal once this term, we have only 3 clean sheets in 7 games, and two were against a very average Fenerbahce. Watching Vincent Kompany dominate Man U today made me think we could still improve in this area. And Tottenham has only ceded a single goal, against us, all season and stand level on points after five games.
4.     Szczesny is back: while Sz might have gotten across to stop Cameron’s equalizer today, he has been relatively impressive this term, stronger in the air and on crosses/corners, more assured in his distribution and has already tallied a number of impressive saves. His form has been an important part of this run, after being benched late last season, and continuing in that vein imperative if we are truly to mount a serious title charge.
5.     Media Bias: Arsenal has long suffered with a media that seems to place them in perpetual crisis – sometimes fairly, more often just as a result of its sensationalist tendencies. But few could argue when they saw a team that seemed too thin to really challenge for the league this season. Yet now, Wenger has a new “problem” – a few selection headaches that many in the league would beg for. We have two able bodies on both wings, competition for every spot in midfield (and in some cases are three deep, once players return from injury), should be fine on the wings and have options at every position except a fourth viable centre half (though Sagna seems like he can cover, with Jenkinson starting on the right). The only position where we are light, though it is an important one, seems to be striker. Giroud has been playing well until today, but we still don’t know how he’ll perform in the big games, where he often goes missing (except against Tottenham this term). But if we stay near the top and spend the money we have to bring in another top-quality striker in the Winter Window, this could be a team that could go all the way!
6.     Title Contenders: Arsenal has to avoid the downturn in form that seems to plague us at some point every season since our last title, but must feel like this is the best chance to reclaim that coveted prize in some time. Man United would be in crisis mode if Moyes wasn’t being given an early pass by the media (one point in three games against the major rivals Chelsea, Liverpool and City should be garnering more press). A loss Wednesday to Liverpool in the Capital One would certainly get people talking, but the beating they took today at City must open some eyes to a decline in quality in the back and midfield this term. Liverpool has started brightly, but no one, including Rodgers, thinks they are real challengers for the title yet – and the tame 1-0 loss to Southampton seems to confirm the distance they still have to go to get back to the top. Man City did look impressive, but have already blown four points against Cardiff and Stoke, though they appear to be the in form team after the display today, when the new pieces seemed to finally fit together with the old (though oddly without David Villa on the pitch). And finally is Chelsea, a team that does seem in crisis mode, without the striker they need to mount a serious challenge at the top. Sure they won Saturday, but it was again less than exemplary and Mourinho’s tendency to ostracize a team’s most popular players (in this case Mata and Luiz) in his last two stops seems to be costing him points and silverware. Right now he doesn’t seem to know who to play in what position and that is not allowing the team to build up the understanding and confidence necessary to beat teams like Basil (couldn’t help myself there). It is too early to say anything definitive, but Arsenal certainly have a team that can compete with the best.

Moving to the American version of the sport for a paragraph, some thoughts on the weekend action. Pittsburgh appear to be a team on the decline and the new system not really complementary to Roethisberger’s strengths. The Niners have certainly come back down to earth as well, as has their young quarterback who had a truly awful day. The Jets improved to 2-1 with a nail-biter than should have been comfortable – but for several missed turnovers and 20, yes that’s right, 20 penalties. This is clearly one of the worst coached teams in the league and it might be time to start lining up replacements for the likable but increasingly clueless Rex Ryan. The Cowboys also improved to 2-1 while the Chargers blew yet another game to fall to 1-2, continuing a trend that saw them blow 7 leads last year and already 2 this term. A new coach but the same old lack of backbone. Green Bay and Atlanta also lost while the Saints won, already messing with early predictions (including the rather pathetic performance of the NFC East sans the Boys). On that note, we might be reaching the end of an era with the Giants, as they fall to 0-3 in a truly paltry performance, though I suppose you should never count them out. Andrew Luck appears to be the only sophomore living up to last year’s hype so far, though third year man Cam Newton had an impressive performance in the win (though his completion percentage was still low).

Anyway, that’s all for now. COYG!

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